If its goal were to topple the Islamic Republic's clerical and military leadership, things probably wouldn't look much different from what's going on now.
Reading intelligence is not an exact science. But as the Iraq war shows, it can confirm pre-existing beliefs -- like the man in the Simon and Garfunkel song who "hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest." All the more important that politicians handle intelligence with appropriate caution.
So did the President reveal new details of Soleimani's intentions that could significantly change the debate about Trump's order to have him killed? Or is the President inflating the threat to justify an operation on increasingly shaky legal and political ground in Washington? And are his subordinates -- as is often the case -- contorting themselves to cover up for Trump's untruthfulness?
"We knew that there were threats to American facilities -- now whether they were bases, embassies, you know, it's always hard until the attack happens."
"I remember I was in the center of Port au Prince when I heard the noise. I thought it was an atomic bomb. There had been some students protesting, there'd been a bit of political furor. Then I saw the building move," says MSF psychologist Marline Naromie Fatal Joseph, recalling the day when an earthquake struck Haiti ten years ago, on Jan. 12, 2010.
"It was a five-story structure right in front of me, and when it began to sway, I thought surely it would collapse. So I ran into an alley, and found it full of people, covered in dust from head to toe. There was more and more dust, and soon we could barely see anything. So many people already had missing limbs and bloodied heads."
"Six days after the earthquake, [Doctors without Borders] called us to come take care of the sick. So I came back to work, accompanying people who were bereaved, who had lost limbs, their family members, children who had lost their parents," she tells Meanwhile. "At night, my husband and I slept under the stars in the Champs de Mars public square, because we all were afraid to sleep indoors. There were still aftershocks, and we feared that houses that had stood so far would eventually fall.
Has Haiti rebuilt in a way that would make it more resilient today? "We are not ready for another earthquake," says Joseph. "And I can't say that Haiti has any institution capable of dealing with all the psychological trauma of another catastrophe like that.
"Some trauma is permanent," she adds.
"I was disappointed to hear that Bernie is sending his volunteers out to trash me," Warren had told reporters earlier in the day.