NBA Playoffs 2019: Raptors vs. Sixers odds, picks, Game 1 predictions from model on 84-57 roll

 cbssports.com  04/27/2019 13:30:42  2  CBS Sports Staff

The Toronto Raptors and Philadelphia 76ers start their series in the 2019 NBA Playoffs on Saturday night in Toronto. The Raptors eliminated the Orlando Magic in five games in the first round. Like Toronto, Philadelphia lost Game 1 of its first round series against the Brooklyn Nets before winning four straight to advance. The Raptors won three of four meetings against the Sixers during the regular season, including both games in Toronto. Raptors forward Kawhi Leonard led the way, averaging 30.3 points, 7.7 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 2.7 assists in the three games he played. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is favored by 6.5 in the latest Raptors vs. Sixers odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 222.5. Before making any Raptors vs. 76ers picks of your own, scope out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks. It entered Week 28 of the 2018-19 NBA season with a sterling record on its top-rated picks, returning more than $3,500 in profit to anybody following them. And it has been particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA money line picks, entering Week 28 on a strong 84-57 run. Anybody who has followed it is way up.

Now the model has honed in on Raptors vs. Sixers. We can tell you it is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value. That one is available only at SportsLine.

The model has factored in that Toronto has added center Marc Gasol since last facing Philadelphia, and he has had success against 76ers center Joel Embiid in his career. In five games between their teams, Gasol has helped limit Embiid to 14.0 points per game on 34.4 percent shooting from the field. Embiid also averaged 4.4 turnovers.

The model also knows that the Raptors have locked down on Philadelphia's Ben Simmons this season. In the three games in which Leonard played against the Sixers, Simmons averaged 8.0 turnovers and Toronto won all three contests.

But just because the Raptors have had success against Philadelphia this season does not guarantee they will cover the Raptors vs. Sixers spread.

The four games against Toronto came before Philadelphia acquired Tobias Harris. In 27 games since joining the 76ers, Harris has averaged 18.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists. More importantly, it means either Harris or Simmons will not have to go up against Leonard.

Despite the three losses, the Sixers were one of two teams to shoot better than 70 percent in the restricted area against the Raptors this season. Embiid, Simmons and Jimmy Butler combined to shoot 57-for-77 (74 percent) in the restricted area.

So who wins Game 1 of 76ers vs. Raptors? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the 76ers vs. Raptors spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model that's up more than $3,500 on NBA picks this season.

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