Klay more likely to make 3-pointers after consecutive makes

 nbcsports.com  03/13/2019 19:08:50 

Klay Thompson can heat up in a hurry.

The Warriors sharpshooter holds the NBA record for the most points in a quarter (37) and tied an NBA record this season by hitting 10 consecutive 3-pointers to start a game. This season, he has actually shot better as he has made more consecutive shots.

As Reddit user bennyboy82 illustrated with a revealing graphic, Thompson's 3-point percentage this season has increased with each subsequent make. 

Klay’s 3PT% after consecutive makes (by u/bennyboy82) pic.twitter.com/DRbNCtFbYc

— r/Warriors (@GSWReddit) March 13, 2019

Those are staggering statistics, but there is a very important caveat to consider, and that's the sample size. 

Entering Wednesday, Thompson had attempted 493 shots from beyond the arc, and made 198 (40.2 percent). That accounts for a little under 12 percent of his 4,185 career 3-point attempts, and thus is not as representative of his true ability as a full sample of his entire career would be.

Breaking it down by consecutive shots makes the sample size even smaller. Thompson, for instance, has made eight consecutive 3-pointers three times this season. He's a noted deadeye from beyond the arc, but there's an element of randomness that needs to be taken into account.

[RELATED: Klay apologizes to Warriors fans]

Yet, recent research shows there is something to the theory of the hot hand, and Thompson himself is on the record as a believer. His own success this season provides a fascinating counter-argument to the increasingly disputed notion that the hot hand is a fallacy.

That's all to say that the Warriors' approach shouldn't change much when Thompson is on a hot streak.

Just get Klay the ball. 

The Warriors don't want to be on the wrong side of a broom Wednesday night.

Golden State will look to avoid a regular-season sweep at the hands of the Houston Rockets. But, the Warriors will have to do so without some firepower.

Kevin Durant won't play against the Rockets because of an ankle injury, meaning the series has gone 4-for-4 with a star missing out on the proceedings. Chris Paul missed the first matchup, then Steph Curry sat out the second. James Harden, Durant's former teammate with the Oklahoma City Thunder, missed the third game last month.

That game kicked off the Rockets' current nine-game winning streak, and the Warriors will have a chance to end it in Houston. 

[RELATED: Everything you need to know about Warriors-Rockets]

Here's how you can watch Warriors vs. Rockets on NBC Sports Bay Area and streaming online:

When: Wednesday, March 13, at 6:30 p.m. PT (pregame at 5:30 p.m.)
TV channel: NBC Sports Bay Area
Live stream: MyTeams by NBC Sports app

Desktop users can stream the game here.

HOUSTON - With the Warriors' last four-game road trip of the season kicking off in Houston Wednesday night, the battered champs are hoping to avoid getting swept by the Rockets in the season series. 

Coverage on NBC Sports Bay Area begins at 5:00 p.m. with Warriors Outsiders, followed by Warriors Pregame at 5:30 and a 6:30 tipoff from Toyota Center.

[RELATED: How to watch Warriors-Rockets]

Golden State will be without forward Kevin Durant Wednesday, who is day-to-day with an ankle injury. 

Entering Wednesday's matchup, the Rockets have won nine straight games behind James Harden, who is averaging 36.2 points, 7.5 assists and 6.5 rebounds this season. With Durant out and Houston rolling, a Warriors' win Thursday evening will be quite an accomplishment. 

PROJECTED LINEUPS

WarriorsF Alfonzo McKinnieF Draymond GreenC DeMarcus CousinsG Klay Thompson

G Stephen Curry

RocketsF PJ TuckerC Clint CapelaG Chris PaulG James Harden

G Eric Gordon

INJURY REPORT

Warriors: C Andrew Bogut is not with the team, F Kevin Durant (right ankle sprain) is out; C Damian Jones (left pectoral surgery) is out.

Rockets: F Isaiah Hartenstein (right Achilles soreness) is out

ROTATION OUTLOOK

Warriors: With Durant out, Mckinnie or two-way wing Damion Lee could get the start against Houston. 

Curry has been struggling lately, averaging 22.7 points on just 38 percent from the field and 31 percent from 3-point range. In Sunday's loss to Phoenix, Curry shot just 6-of-20 from the field. 

While Curry is struggling, Thompson is on the verge of hitting 200 3-pointers, which would make him the second player in NBA history to hit 200 3-pointers in seven consecutive seasons. 

Rockets: Entering Wednesday's contest, Harden, the NBA's reigning MVP, is averaging 34.4 points, 6.1 assists and 5.5 rebounds over his last 10 games.

Fellow guard Chris Paul has struggled through injuries this season, averaging career-lows in points (15.3) and field goal percentage (41.1), but scored 23 points, adding 17 assists in the last matchup between these two teams. 

Capela has come on as of late, averaging 18 points and 12 rebounds over his last three games. 

Officials: Ed Malloy, Pat Fraher, Matt Boland

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